WTPN51 PGTW 202100 WARNING ATCG MIL 19W NWP 201020200201 2020102018 19W SAUDEL 008 02 280 16 SATL RADR SYNP 050 T000 164N 1200E 040 R034 140 NE QD 095 SE QD 080 SW QD 165 NW QD T012 166N 1179E 045 R034 130 NE QD 080 SE QD 100 SW QD 180 NW QD T024 170N 1166E 050 R050 010 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 110 SE QD 110 SW QD 160 NW QD T036 177N 1161E 055 R050 020 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 200 NE QD 120 SE QD 120 SW QD 200 NW QD T048 179N 1152E 060 R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 310 NE QD 110 SE QD 110 SW QD 210 NW QD T072 179N 1128E 060 R050 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 250 NE QD 080 SE QD 100 SW QD 160 NW QD T096 179N 1094E 055 R050 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 080 NW QD T120 177N 1058E 045 R034 060 NE QD 040 SE QD 120 SW QD 120 NW QD AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 19W (SAUDEL) WARNING NR 008 1. TROPICAL STORM 19W (SAUDEL) WARNING NR 008 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z --- NEAR 16.4N 120.0E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.4N 120.0E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z --- 16.6N 117.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z --- 17.0N 116.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z --- 17.7N 116.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z --- 17.9N 115.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z --- 17.9N 112.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z --- 17.9N 109.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z --- 17.7N 105.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 202100Z POSITION NEAR 16.5N 119.5E. 20OCT20. TROPICAL STORM 19W (SAUDEL), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 123 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210300Z, 210900Z, 211500Z AND 212100Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1920101600 48N1476E 15 1920101606 50N1460E 15 1920101612 54N1446E 15 1920101618 60N1425E 15 1920101700 75N1410E 15 1920101706 84N1400E 15 1920101712 95N1391E 15 1920101718 103N1379E 20 1920101800 108N1364E 20 1920101806 114N1349E 20 1920101812 122N1335E 20 1920101818 132N1317E 20 1920101900 138N1296E 25 1920101906 140N1283E 30 1920101912 144N1271E 30 1920101918 150N1261E 30 1920102000 156N1249E 35 1920102006 159N1232E 40 1920102012 161N1216E 45 1920102018 164N1200E 40 NNNN