WTPN51 PGTW 211500 WARNING ATCG MIL 19W NWP 201021144013 2020102112 19W SAUDEL 011 02 255 10 SATL 045 T000 159N 1175E 050 R050 000 NE QD 000 SE QD 045 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 115 NE QD 125 SE QD 105 SW QD 150 NW QD T012 165N 1166E 055 R050 020 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 120 SE QD 110 SW QD 150 NW QD T024 171N 1162E 055 R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 210 NE QD 110 SE QD 100 SW QD 180 NW QD T036 175N 1155E 060 R050 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 280 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 190 NW QD T048 175N 1143E 060 R050 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 270 NE QD 070 SE QD 090 SW QD 180 NW QD T072 173N 1105E 055 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 080 NW QD T096 170N 1070E 040 R034 040 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD T120 160N 1048E 030 AMP 096HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND 120HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 19W (SAUDEL) WARNING NR 011 1. TROPICAL STORM 19W (SAUDEL) WARNING NR 011 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 211200Z --- NEAR 15.9N 117.5E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.9N 117.5E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z --- 16.5N 116.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z --- 17.1N 116.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z --- 17.5N 115.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z --- 17.5N 114.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z --- 17.3N 110.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z --- 17.0N 107.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z --- 16.0N 104.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 211500Z POSITION NEAR 16.1N 117.3E. 1920101600 48N1476E 15 1920101606 50N1460E 15 1920101612 54N1446E 15 1920101618 60N1425E 15 1920101700 75N1410E 15 1920101706 84N1400E 15 1920101712 95N1391E 15 1920101718 103N1379E 20 1920101800 108N1364E 20 1920101806 114N1349E 20 1920101812 122N1335E 20 1920101818 132N1317E 20 1920101900 138N1296E 25 1920101906 140N1283E 30 1920101912 144N1271E 30 1920101918 150N1261E 30 1920102000 156N1249E 35 1920102006 159N1232E 40 1920102012 161N1216E 45 1920102018 162N1197E 40 1920102100 162N1190E 45 1920102106 162N1185E 45 1920102112 159N1175E 50 1920102112 159N1175E 50 NNNN