ABIO10 PGTW 110200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 
REISSUED/110200Z-111800ZJUN2026//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95S) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 31.3S 
50.5E, APPROXIMATELY 663 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF LA REUNION. THE SYSTEM IS 
CURRENTLY CLASSIFIED AS A SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE, GENERALLY CHARACTERIZED 
AS HAVING BOTH TROPICAL AND MIDLATITUDE CYCLONE FEATURES. ANIMATED 
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A DISORGANIZED LOW LEVEL 
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) ASSOCIATED WITH FLARING CONVECTION AND 
ELEVATED WINDS IN THE SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY, EVIDENT BY A 101909Z 
METOP-C ASCAT PASS DEPICTING A SMALL AREA OF 40KTS IN THE SOUTHERN 
QUADRANT. THIS SYSTEM HAS AN EXTREMELY LOW CHANCE OF BECOMING A TROPICAL 
CYCLONE, AND THE SYSTEM IS REMAINING QUASI-STATIONARY DUE TO THE POLAR 
FRONT JET (PFJ) BEING SPLIT ON THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN SIDES OF THE 
SYSTEM. INVEST 95S IS IN A HIGHLY UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH HIGH 
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (35+ KTS) AND COLD SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST) OF 
23-24C, OFFSET BY GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW. ALL GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND 
ENSEMBLE MODELS DEPICT A QUASI-STATIONARY TRACK THROUGHOUT THE SYSTEMS 
LIFESPAN BEFORE BEING OVERTAKEN BY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE PFJ. FOR 
HAZARDS AND WARNINGS, REFERENCE THE FLEET WEATHER CENTER SAN DIEGO HIGH 
WINDS AND SEAS PRODUCT OR REFER TO LOCAL WMO DESIGNATED FORECAST 
AUTHORITY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 38 TO 43 
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE 
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 
THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUBTROPICAL SYSTEMS.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED AREA IN 2.C.(1) AS A LOW.//
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