000
WTPA23 PHFO 101433
TCMCP3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022015
1500 UTC FRI JUL 10 2015
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 155.2W AT 10/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 155.2W AT 10/1500Z
AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 155.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 12.1N 156.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 13.0N 157.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 13.8N 158.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  10SE  10SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 13.6N 160.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  20SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 13.6N 164.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 14.0N 168.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 14.0N 172.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.4N 155.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z
 
$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD