000
WTPA21 PHFO 232055
TCMCP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION KILO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032015
2100 UTC SUN AUG 23 2015
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR JOHNSTON ATOLL.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JOHNSTON ATOLL
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS IN THE WESTERN MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...AS WELL AS
THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA NATIONAL MARINE
MONUMENT...SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF KILO OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 164.9W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 164.9W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 164.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 14.9N 166.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 35NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 15.6N 166.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  35SE  25SW  35NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 16.4N 167.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  65SE  45SW  55NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 17.1N 167.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  65SW  65NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 18.6N 166.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  45NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  85SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 19.9N 166.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 20.7N 167.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N 164.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BURKE