000
WTPA21 PHFO 240856
TCMCP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION KILO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032015
0900 UTC MON AUG 24 2015
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR JOHNSTON ISLAND
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JOHNSTON ISLAND
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS IN THE WESTERN MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...AS WELL AS
THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA NATIONAL MARINE
MONUMENT...SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF KILO OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 166.7W AT 24/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 166.7W AT 24/0900Z
AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 166.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 15.3N 167.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  25SE  25SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 16.1N 168.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  25SE  25SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 17.1N 168.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 55NE  55SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 18.0N 168.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 18.9N 169.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  35SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 19.6N 169.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 20.2N 170.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 166.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER TANABE