000
WTPA22 PHFO 210245
TCMCP2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-C FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP042015
0300 UTC FRI AUG 21 2015
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 177.5W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN   30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 177.5W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 177.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 15.7N 177.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 16.5N 177.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 17.2N 178.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 18.0N 179.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 19.3N 179.5E
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 21.0N 178.7E
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 23.1N 179.9E
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 177.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER POWELL