000
WTPA22 PHFO 210835
TCMCP2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-C FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP042015
0900 UTC FRI AUG 21 2015
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 177.0W AT 21/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 177.0W AT 21/0900Z
AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 177.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 15.9N 177.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 16.6N 177.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 17.4N 178.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 18.3N 179.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 20.1N 179.7E
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 22.0N 180.0E
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 25.0N 179.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 177.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER JACOBSON/BIRCHARD