000
WTPA22 PHFO 240836
TCMCP2

TROPICAL STORM LOKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP042015
0900 UTC MON AUG 24 2015
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
PEARL AND HERMES ATOLL TO LISIANSKI ISLAND.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MIDWAY ISLAND
 
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
LISIANSKI ISLAND TO MARO REEF.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT
OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL
MONUMENT SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LOKE.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.9N 178.5W AT 24/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 10NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 50NE  50SE  20SW  20NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.9N 178.5W AT 24/0900Z
AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 178.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 25.3N 177.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  50SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 27.5N 175.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 30.2N 174.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 33.0N 175.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 40.0N 177.0E
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  70SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 50.0N 170.0E...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z...ABSORBED BY LARGER EXTRATROPICAL LOW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.9N 178.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER JACOBSON/TANABE