000
WTPA24 PHFO 031430
TCMCP4

TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
1500 UTC MON AUG 03 2015
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
ALL INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. WATCHES MAY
BE ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE STATE LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 146.1W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT.......110NE 100SE  50SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..280NE 190SE 220SW 280NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 146.1W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 145.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 17.2N 147.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  45SW  65NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 17.9N 148.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 18.7N 150.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 85NE  65SE  35SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 19.6N 152.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  30SW  55NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 21.4N 155.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  25SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 23.1N 159.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 25.0N 164.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 146.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER JELSEMA/HOUSTON