000
WTPA23 PHFO 290241
TCMCP3

HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
0300 UTC SAT AUG 29 2015
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IGNACIO. A WATCH MAY BE ISSUED FOR PORTIONS
OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OVERNIGHT OR EARLY SATURDAY.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 145.2W AT 29/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  981 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..170NE 140SE 110SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 145.2W AT 29/0300Z
AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 144.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 15.9N 146.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 16.8N 147.8W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 17.7N 149.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 18.6N 150.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 20.5N 153.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 22.6N 155.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 24.7N 158.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 145.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD