000
WTPA23 PHFO 310235
TCMCP3

HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
0300 UTC MON AUG 31 2015
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR MAUI COUNTY AND THE BIG ISLAND HAS
BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
NONE.
 
INTERESTS IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IGNACIO.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 149.6W AT 31/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN   5 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  961 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT.......120NE 140SE  70SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..225NE 190SE 205SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 149.6W AT 31/0300Z
AT 31/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 149.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 20.8N 150.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 130SE  60SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 21.9N 151.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  50SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 23.0N 153.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 24.0N 154.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 25.9N 157.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  40SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 28.1N 161.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 32.0N 163.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.8N 149.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD