000
WTPA25 PHFO 312052
TCMCP5

HURRICANE MADELINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP142016
2100 UTC WED AUG 31 2016
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR HAWAII COUNTY. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR HAWAII COUNTY.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
* MAUI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND
KAHOOLAWE
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE OVER THE 
NEXT
24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
COMPLETE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 154.2W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE   0SE   0SW   5NW.
50 KT....... 20NE  10SE   5SW  15NW.
34 KT.......110NE  40SE  20SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..175NE  80SE 120SW 175NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 154.2W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 153.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 18.2N 155.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE   5SW  15NW.
34 KT...100NE  40SE  20SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 17.9N 158.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 90NE  30SE  10SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 17.8N 160.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  20SE   0SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 17.8N 163.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE   0SE   0SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 17.9N 168.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 18.0N 173.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 18.4N 177.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.6N 154.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER WROE