000
WTPA24 PHFO 130244
TCMCP4

TROPICAL STORM NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP182015
0300 UTC TUE OCT 13 2015
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 147.7W AT 13/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  25SE  25SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..175NE  75SE  85SW 195NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 147.7W AT 13/0300Z
AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 147.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 13.7N 148.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  25SE  25SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 14.3N 150.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  25SE  15SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 15.1N 150.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  25SE  15SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 15.7N 150.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 16.4N 151.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 16.0N 152.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 15.3N 154.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.1N 147.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD