000
WTPA25 PHFO 211443
TCMCP5

HURRICANE OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP192015
1500 UTC WED OCT 21 2015
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 144.4W AT 21/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  958 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE 100SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 240SE 240SW 420NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 144.4W AT 21/1500Z
AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 144.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 12.7N 145.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 13.8N 146.4W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 14.9N 146.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 16.4N 147.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 19.5N 146.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 22.0N 145.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 24.6N 143.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.9N 144.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z
 
$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD