000
WTPA25 PHFO 250237
TCMCP5

HURRICANE OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  41
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP192015
0300 UTC SUN OCT 25 2015
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 144.3W AT 25/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT.......150NE 130SE  80SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 210SE 210SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 144.3W AT 25/0300Z
AT 25/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 144.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 21.9N 143.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 23.0N 142.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 24.2N 141.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 110SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 25.2N 139.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 26.6N 137.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 26.0N 139.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 25.5N 143.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.7N 144.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0900Z
 
$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD