"ABIO10 PGTW 300100\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN \r\nREISSUED/300100ZAPR2024-301800ZAPR2024//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n6.7S 46.2E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7.6S 46.5E, APPROXIMATELY 310 NM \r\nNORTHEAST OF COMOROS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A \r\nGMI 292043Z 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICTS A BROAD AREA OF TURNING WITH A \r\nLARGE CURVED BAND IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE AS WELL AS A CONSOLIDATING \r\nBUT BROAD LLCC. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE CONDITIONS \r\nWITH LIGHT EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10-15KTS) COUPLED WITH GOOD \r\nDUAL CHANNEL OUTFLOW AND WARM SSTS (29-30C). GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS \r\nDEPICT AN INCREASING LIKELIHOOD OF DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS \r\nTHE LOW TRACKS SOUTHWESTWARD OFF THE COAST OF TANZANIA. MAXIMUM \r\nSUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 28 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA \r\nLEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS \r\nIS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS."