"ABIO10 PGTW 022100\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN \r\nREISSUED/022100Z-031800ZJAN2026//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/021352ZJAN2026//\r\nREF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/021951ZJAN2026//\r\nNARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE \r\nFINAL WARNING.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91S) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 10.0S \r\n88.3E, APPROXIMATELY 524 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. \r\nANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS STEADILY BUILDING \r\nCONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A COMPACT LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. A 021504Z \r\nMETOP-B SCATTEROMETRY IMAGE VERIFIES THAT A DEVELOPING CIRCULATION \r\nEMBEDDED WITHIN THE SOUTHERN MONSOON TROF IS CONSOLIDATING, AND \r\nDEEPENING CONVECTION AROUND THE SYSTEM. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS \r\nFAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL \r\nWIND SHEAR (10-15 KTS), WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-29 C), AND \r\nGOOD POLEWARD AND EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY BUT \r\nRESTRICTED OUTFLOW ON THE EASTERN SIDE. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND \r\nENSEMBLE MODELS SHOW GOOD AGREEMENT ON STEADY CONSOLIDATION OVER THE \r\nFOLLOWING COUPLE OF DAYS WITH ALL MODELS SHOWING DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM \r\nSUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA \r\nLEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS \r\nREMAINS LOW.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPDATED AREA IN PARA. 2.A.(2) WITH FINAL \r\nWARNING INFORMATION.//"