"ABIO10 PGTW 030600\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN \r\nREISSUED/030600Z-031800ZJAN2026//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/030151ZJAN2026//\r\nAMPN/REFS A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n10.0S 88.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.0S 88.8E, APPROXIMATELY 493 NM WEST-\r\nNORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE \r\nIMAGERY DEPICTS STEADILY BUILDING CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A COMPACT \r\nLOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. A 021504Z METOP-B SCATTEROMETRY IMAGE VERIFIES \r\nTHAT A DEVELOPING CIRCULATION EMBEDDED WITHIN THE SOUTHERN MONSOON TROF \r\nIS CONSOLIDATING, AND DEEPENING CONVECTION AROUND THE SYSTEM. \r\nENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH \r\nLOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10-15 KTS), WARM SEA SURFACE \r\nTEMPERATURES (28-29 C), AND GOOD POLEWARD AND EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ON THE \r\nWESTERN PERIPHERY BUT RESTRICTED OUTFLOW ON THE EASTERN SIDE. GLOBAL \r\nDETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS SHOW GOOD AGREEMENT ON STEADY \r\nCONSOLIDATION OVER THE FOLLOWING COUPLE OF DAYS WITH ALL MODELS SHOWING \r\nDEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 \r\nKNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE \r\nPOTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN \r\nTHE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: REMOVED 11S (IGGY) INFORMATION DUE TO \r\nFINAL WARNING EXPIRATION.//"