"ABIO10 PGTW 021800\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/021800Z-\r\n031800ZJAN2025//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n14.5S 101.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.3S 101.4E, APPROXIMATELY 300 NM \r\nEAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE COCOS ISLAND. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE \r\nIMAGERY AND A 021710Z HIMAWARI-9 IR DEPICT A FULLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL \r\nCIRCULATION CENTER WITH FLARING DEEP CONVECTION SHEARED TO THE WEST. \r\nENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (5-\r\n10KTS), GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW AND WARM SST (28-29C). GLOBAL MODELS ARE \r\nCONFIDENT THAT THE AREA OF CONVECTION (92S) WILL CONTINUE TO QUICKLY \r\nCONSOLIDATE OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS OFF TOWARDS THE \r\nNORTHEAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 28 \r\nKNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE \r\nPOTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN \r\nTHE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.\r\n      (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n9.4S 58.2E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.5S 58.1E, APPROXIMATELY 824 NM WEST OF \r\nDIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 021409Z \r\nSSMIS F16 COMPOSITE DEPICT AN ELONGATED AREA OF TROUGHING BOUNDED BY \r\nWEAKLY DEFINED LOW-LEVEL BANDING TO THE SOUTH. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS \r\nARE FAVORABLE WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (5-10KTS), GOOD POLEWARD \r\nOUTFLOW AND WARM SST (28-29C). GLOBAL MODELS ARE CONFIDENT THAT THE AREA \r\nOF CONVECTION (92S) WILL CONTINUE TO QUICKLY CONSOLIDATE OVER THE NEXT \r\n48 HOURS AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS OFF TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST. MAXIMUM \r\nSUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 28 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA \r\nLEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS \r\nREMAINS MEDIUM.\r\n      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//"