{"ObservationDate":"2025-01-02T14:00:00","Latitude":-9.2,"Longitude":58.7,"Windspeed":23.0,"Pressure":1007.0,"Identifier":"INVEST 92S","PotentialStatus":"MEDIUM","OriginalBulletin":["ABIO10 PGTW 021400","MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//","SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ","REISSUED/021400Z-021800ZJAN2025//","RMKS/"," B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE."," C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE."," B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:"," (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR ","14.5S 102.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.5S 101.5E, APPROXIMATELY 303 NM ","EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) ","SATELLITE ","IMAGERY DEPICTS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LLCC WITH FLARING CONVECTION ALONG ","THE WESTERN PERIPHERY. A 0115147Z ASCAT PARTIAL PASS REVEALS A BELT OF ","20-25 KNOT WESTERLY WINDS CURRENTLY SITTING ACROSS THE NORTHERN ","PERIPHERY OF THE SYSTEM. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATELY ","FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE TO HIGH VERTICAL ","WIND SHEAR (20-30 KTS), MODERATE EASTERLY OUTFLOW ALOFT AND WARM SEA ","SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-29C). GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ","ARE IN AGREEMENT ON SLOW DEVELOPMENT SOUTHWEST OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS ","MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 28 KNOTS. ","MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE ","POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN ","THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM."," (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR ","9.4S 58.2E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.2S 58.7E, APPROXIMATELY 826 NM WEST OF ","DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 010604Z ","ASCAT DEPICTS WEAK LLCC WITH THE FLARING CONVECTION BEGINNING TO ","COLLAPSE, PARTICULARLY THE CONVECTION TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE ASSESSED ","CENTER. DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO CYCLE OVER THE SOUTHERN REACHES OF ","THE CIRCULATION BUT REMAINS DISPLACED AWAY FROM THE LLCC. A 020950Z ","AMSR2 36GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEALED DISORGANIZED CONVECTION BUT SOME ","FRAGMENTED AND DEVELOPMENTAL SHALLOW BANDING FEATURES. ENVIRONMENTAL ","CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (5-10KTS), GOOD ","POLEWARD OUTFLOW AND WARM SST (28-29C). GLOBAL MODELS ARE CONFIDENT ","THAT THE AREA OF CONVECTION (92S) WILL CONTINUE TO QUICKLY CONSOLIDATE ","OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS OFF TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST. ","MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 28 KNOTS. ","MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE ","POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN ","THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM."," (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS."," C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.","3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 2.B.(2) TO MEDIUM//"]}