"ABIO10 PGTW 082130\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN \r\nREISSUED/082130Z-091800ZJAN2025//\r\nREF/A/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/082100ZJAN2025//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 082100)//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n14.9S 71.1E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.0S 62.8E, APPROXIMATELY 684 NM EAST-\r\nNORTHEAST OF MAURITIUS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY DEPICT A \r\nCONSOLIDATING LLCC WITH DEEP FLARING CONVECTION OVER THE CENTER. A 081650Z \r\nMETOP-B AMSU-B 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEALS THE LOW-LEVEL CLOUD LINES \r\nTIGHTLY WRAPPING INTO THE SYSTEM. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS \r\nMARGINALLY CONDUCIVE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW TO MODERATE \r\nVERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15-20 KNOTS), WARM (28-29C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, \r\nAND MODERATE POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT OFFSET BY THE PRESENCE OF DRY AIR \r\nWITHIN THE WESTERN AND NORTHERN PERIPHERIES. GLOBAL ENSEMBLE AND \r\nDETERMINISTIC ARE IN AGREEMENT ON A WESTWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS \r\nWITH GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE \r\nESTIMATED AT 28 TO 33 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE \r\nNEAR 998 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL \r\nCYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH. SEE REF A (WTXS21 PGTW \r\n082100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: REISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT \r\nFOR INVEST 94S.//"