"ABIO10 PGTW 310300\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN \r\nREISSUED/310300ZJAN2025-311800ZJAN2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/310151ZJAN2025//\r\nREF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/301951ZJAN2025//\r\nNARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: \r\n (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 99S) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 14.3N \r\n106.8E, APPROXIMATELY 243 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CHRISTMAS ISLAND. \r\nANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 302304Z WSFM 89GHZ \r\nMICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT AN AREA OF FLARING CONVECTION, WITH FRAGMENTED \r\nRAIN BANDS BEGINNING TO ORGANIZE AROUND A WEAKLY-DEFINED LOW LEVEL \r\nCIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS THAT INVEST \r\n99S IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT WITH, GOOD \r\nEQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, \r\nAND LOW TO MODERATE (15-20 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL MODELS \r\nARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 99S WILL GENERALLY TRACK \r\nSOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO \r\nCONSOLIDATE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO \r\n25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. \r\nTHE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE \r\nWITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.\r\n (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA. 2.B.(1).//"