"ABIO10 PGTW 010630\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN \r\nREISSUED/010630Z-011800ZFEB2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/010151ZFEB2025//\r\nREF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/010153ZFEB2025//\r\nREF/C/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/010152ZFEB2025//\r\nNARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REFS B AND C ARE TROPICAL \r\nCYCLONE FORMATION ALERTS.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 99S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n14.4S 104.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.6S 103.9E, APPROXIMATELY 436 NM \r\nWEST-NORTHWEST OF COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE \r\nIMAGERY (MSI) DEPICT A COMPACT LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH DEEP \r\nCONVECTION FORMING ON THE NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY AND CONVECTIVE \r\nBANDING ALONG THE NORTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS \r\nINDICATES THAT INVEST 99S IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER \r\nDEVELOPMENT DUE TO WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, GOOD DUAL \r\nCHANNEL OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND IS CURRENTLY IN AN AREA OF LOW TO MODERATE \r\n(15 TO 20 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND \r\nENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 99S WILL CONTINUE TO \r\nCONSOLIDATE AND TAKE A SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. \r\nMAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 28 TO 33 KNOTS. \r\nMINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 999 MB. THE \r\nPOTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE \r\nWITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO HIGH. SEE REF B (WTXS22 PGTW \r\n010200) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.\r\n      (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n13.1S 121.2E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.4S 119.5E, APPROXIMATELY 315 NM \r\nNORTH-NORTHWEST OF BROOME, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL \r\nSATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICT A QUICKLY CONSOLIDATING LOW-LEVEL \r\nCIRCULATION EMBEDDED WITHIN PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION WITH A CENTRAL \r\nDENSE OVERCAST (CDO) DIRECTLY OVER THE CENTER. A STRONG BELT OF \r\nWESTERLY FLOW (20-25 KNOTS) IS POSITIONED ON THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE \r\nOF THE CIRCULATION AND HAS BEGAN TO WRAP ALONG THE NORTHEASTERN \r\nPERIPHERY OF THE SYSTEM. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT INVEST \r\n90S IS IN A CONDUCIVE ENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT DUE TO VERY \r\nWARM (30-31C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, GOOD RADIAL OUTFLOW ALOFT, \r\nAND LOW (5 TO 10 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND \r\nENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 90S WILL QUICKLY \r\nCONSOLIDATE AND CONTINUE TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 \r\nHOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 28 TO 33 \r\nKNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 999 MB. THE \r\nPOTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE \r\nWITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO HIGH. SEE REF C (WTXS21 PGTW \r\n010200) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.\r\n      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: REMOVED 12S (ELVIS) INFORMATION DUE TO \r\nFINAL WARNING EXPIRATION.//"