"ABPW10 PGTW 071430\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/071430Z-080600ZFEB2025//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n24.7S 170.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 26.3S 171.8E, APPROXIMATELY 782 NM \r\nWEST-SOUTHWEST OF TONGA. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY CLASSIFIED AS A \r\nSUBTROPICAL STORM, GENERALLY CHARACTERIZED AS HAVING BOTH TROPICAL AND \r\nMID-LATITUDE CYCLONE FEATURES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE \r\nIMAGERY DEPICTS 92P WITH AN ELONGATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER AND \r\nCONVECTION STREAMING OFF TO THE SOUTHEAST. A 071042Z ASCAT METOP-C \r\nIMAGE REVEALS THE ELONGATED LLC TO HAVE A SWATH OF 35-40 KNOT WINDS \r\nWITHIN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS \r\nUNFAVORABLE CONDITIONS WITH HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) OF 35-40 \r\nKNOTS, STRONG EQUATORWARD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND COOL SEA SURFACE \r\nTEMPERATURES (SST) OF 25-26 C. TROPICAL TRANSITION OF THE SYSTEM IS \r\nANALYZED TO BE UNLIKELY. DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS INDICATE \r\nWEAK MODEL DEVELOPMENT, PORTRAYING THE CIRCULATION CONTINUING TO \r\nELONGATE WITHIN THE SOUTH PACIFIC CONVERGENCE ZONE (SPCZ) ON A \r\nSOUTHEAST TRACK. FOR HAZARDS AND WARNINGS, REFERENCE THE FLEET WEATHER \r\nCENTER SAN DIEGO HIGH WINDS AND SEAS PRODUCT OR REFER TO LOCAL WMO \r\nDESIGNATED FORECAST AUTHORITY.\r\nMAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 33 TO 38 KNOTS. \r\nMINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 997 MB. THE \r\nPOTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN \r\nTHE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.\r\n      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (REMNANTS 15P) HAS PERSISTED NEAR \r\n25.7S 178.5E, APPROXIMATELY 334 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF TONGA. THE \r\nSYSTEM IS CURRENTLY CLASSIFIED AS A SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE, GENERALLY\r\nCHARACTERIZED AS HAVING BOTH TROPICAL AND MIDLATITUDE CYCLONE\r\nFEATURES. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS \r\nDISORGANIZED FLARING CONVECTION OVER AN OBSCURED LOW LEVEL \r\nCIRCULATION (LLC). A 070947Z ASCAT-B IMAGE REVEALS THAT THE EASTERN \r\nPERIPHERY OF THE ELONGATED CIRCULATION HAS ATTAINED GALE FORCE WINDS. \r\nENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS UNFAVORABLE CONDITIONS WITH HIGH \r\nVERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) OF 30-35 KNOTS, STRONG EQUATORWARD UPPER-\r\nLEVEL OUTFLOW, AND COOL SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST) OF 25-26 C. \r\nDETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS PORTRAY 15P TO BRIEFLY SUSTAIN 35 \r\nKNOTS UNTIL ELONGATING IN THE SOUTH PACIFIC CONVERGENCE ZONE (SPCZ) \r\nAND QUICKLY DISSIPATING WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED \r\nSURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 28 TO 33 KNOTS. FOR HAZARDS AND\r\nWARNINGS, REFERENCE THE FLEET WEATHER CENTER SAN DIEGO HIGH WINDS\r\nAND SEAS PRODUCT OR REFER TO LOCAL WMO DESIGNATED FORECAST\r\nAUTHORITY. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1001 \r\nMB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL \r\nCYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.\r\n      (3) NO OTHER SUBTROPICAL SYSTEMS.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED AREA IN 2.C.(2) AS A LOW.//"