"ABIO10 PGTW 101800\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN \r\n101800Z-111800ZJAN2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/100751ZJAN2025//\r\nREF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/100151ZJAN2025//\r\nNARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS TROPICAL CYCLONE \r\nFORMATION ALERT.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 97S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n17.4S 103.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.4S 103.3E, APPROXIMATELY 501 NM \r\nSOUTHEAST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY \r\nDEPICTS A QUICKLY CONSOLIDATING LLCC WITH DEEP PERSISTENT CONVECTION \r\nBUILDING OVER THE CENTER. A 092318Z SSMIS F-17 91 GHZ DEPICTS LOW LEVEL \r\nCLOUDS TIGHTLY WRAPPING INTO THE SYSTEM CENTER. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS \r\nREVEALS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR \r\n(10-15 KNOTS), WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND MODERATE \r\nRADIAL OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL ENSEMBLES ARE MORE AGGRESSIVE OVERALL WHILE \r\nDETERMINISTIC MODELS SHOW A SMALL WINDOW OF POTENTIAL GALE FORCE \r\nINTENSITY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 28 TO 33 \r\nKNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE \r\nPOTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN \r\nTHE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO HIGH. SEE REF B (WTXS21 PGTW 100200) FOR \r\nFURTHER DETAILS.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//"