{"ObservationDate":"2025-01-09T18:00:00","Latitude":-15.5,"Longitude":103.5,"Windspeed":27.5,"Pressure":1003.0,"Identifier":"INVEST 97S","PotentialStatus":"MEDIUM","OriginalBulletin":["ABIO10 PGTW 091800","MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//","SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN ","OCEAN/091800Z-101800ZJAN2025//","REF/A/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/082051ZJAN2025//","AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//","RMKS/"," B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE."," C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE."," B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:"," (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR ","15.0S 62.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.6S 59.8E, APPROXIMATELY 684 NM EAST-","NORTHEAST OF MAURITIUS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY ","DEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING LLCC WITH DEEP FLARING CONVECTION OVER THE ","CENTER. A 082302Z SSMIS 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEALS THE LOW-LEVEL ","CLOUD LINES TIGHTLY WRAPPING INTO THE SYSTEM. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS ","REVEALS CONDUCIVE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW TO MODERATE ","VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15-20 KNOTS), WARM (28-29C) SEA SURFACE ","TEMPERATURES, AND MODERATE POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL ENSEMBLE AND ","DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT ON A WESTWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT ","24 HOURS WITH GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ","ARE ESTIMATED AT 28 TO 33 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ","ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A ","SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH. SEE ","REF A (WTXS21 PGTW 082100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS."," (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 97S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR ","13.6S 103.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.5S 103.5E, APPROXIMATELY 433 NM ","EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE ","IMAGERY DEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING LLCC WITH PERSISTENT CONVECTION ","BUILDING OVER THE CENTER. A 091451Z ASCAT METOP-B 25KM IMAGE DEPICTS A ","BELT OF 25-30 KNOT SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS BEGINNING TO WRAP INTO THE ","SYSTEM. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR ","DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10-15 KNOTS), WARM (28-30C) ","SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL ","DETERMINISTIC MODELS SHOW MARGINAL INTENSIFICATION, HOWEVER THE GLOBAL ","ENSEMBLES ARE MORE AGGRESSIVE OVERALL WITH CONSISTENT DEVELOPMENT OVER ","THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 ","TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 ","MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE ","WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM."," (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS."," C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//"]}