"ABIO10 PGTW 141800\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/141800Z-\r\n151800ZFEB2024//\r\nRMKS/\r\n1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):\r\n   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):\r\n   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n13.6S 66.1E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.8S 65.1E, APPROXIMATELY 299 NM NORTH-\r\nNORTHEAST OF PORT MATHURIN, MAURITIUS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED \r\nSATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION \r\n(LLC) WITH THE DEEP CONVECTION BECOMING MORE PERSISTENT.  ENVIRONMENTAL \r\nANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT DUE TO GOOD \r\nPOLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, LOW (5-10KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS), AND WARM \r\n(29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE (SST). FURTHERMORE, A POINT SOURCE \r\nDIRECTLY OVER THE ANALYZED POSITION REVEALS SUPPORTIVE, ROBUST RADIAL \r\nDIVERGENCE ALOFT. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 90S WILL \r\nSLOWLY TRACK EASTWARD INTO AN AREA OF INCREASED SURFACE LEVEL \r\nCONVERGENCE BY TAU 72 AND RAPIDLY CONSOLIDATE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE \r\nWINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS \r\nESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A \r\nSIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS MEDIUM.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//\r\nNNNN\n"