"ABIO10 PGTW 151800\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/151800Z-\r\n161800ZFEB2024//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/150321ZFEB2024//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):\r\n   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):\r\n   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n15.0S 64.2E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.3S 64.7E, APPROXIMATELY 275 NM NORTH-\r\nNORTHEAST OF PORT MATHURIN, MAURITIUS. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE \r\nIMAGERY (EIR) AND A SSMIS 151411Z 91GHZ DEPICTS SHALLOW RAIN BANDS \r\nWRAPPING INTO THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH EXTENSIVE DEEP \r\nCONVECTION PERSISTING OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN PORTION. ENVIRONMENTAL \r\nANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT, \r\nINCLUDING LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (5-10 KTS), FAVORABLE POLEWARD OUTFLOW \r\nALOFT, AND VERY WARM (28-29C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. NUMERICAL MODEL \r\nGUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 90S WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP \r\nAND INTENSIFY AS IT TURNS EASTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF NEAR \r\nEQUATORIAL RIDGING TO THE NORTH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE \r\nESTIMATED AT 30 TO 35 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO \r\nBE NEAR 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT \r\nTROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH. SEE REF A (WTXS21 PGTW \r\n150330) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//\r\nNNNN\n"