"ABPW10 PGTW 250600\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS/250600Z-260600ZFEB2026//\r\nRMKS/\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n13.6S 170.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.2S 169.8E, APPROXIMATELY 230 NM \r\nNORTH-NORTHEAST OF PORT VILA, VANUATU. ANIMATED ENHANCED MULTISPECTRAL \r\nSATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A BROAD AND POORLY DEFINED CIRCULATION \r\nWITH LOWER LEVEL TROUGH TIGHTENING, MOSTLY OBSCURED BY FLARING \r\nCONVECTION IN THE IMMEDIATE SURROUNDINGS. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS \r\nINDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND \r\nSHEAR (5-10 KNOTS), WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-30 C) AND GOOD \r\nEQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. MODELS GENERALLY AGREE THAT 98P WILL CONTINUE \r\nTO ORGANIZE AS IT MOVES POLEWARD OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS, WITH GFS \r\nAND GEFS DEPICTING TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IN ABOUT 48 HOURS AND \r\nOTHER MODELS A BIT LATER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED \r\nAT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR \r\n1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL \r\nCYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.\r\n (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//"