"ABIO10 PGTW 231400\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN \r\nREISSUED/231400Z-231800ZMAR2025//\r\nRMKS/\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n13.5S 115.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.2S 114.6E, APPROXIMATELY 480 NM \r\nNORTH OF LEARMONTH. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) AND A \r\n231102Z SSMIS 89H DEPICT A CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER \r\n(LLCC) WITH FRAGMENTED BANDING TO THE SOUTHWEST AND DEEP PERSISTENT \r\nCONVECTIVE ACTIVITY BUILDING TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE ASSESSED CENTER. \r\nENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT \r\nWITH LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) OF 15-20 KNOTS, MODERATE \r\nPOLEWARD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST) \r\nOF 30-31 C. DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS INDICATE CONTINUED STEADY \r\nCONSOLIDATION AND INTENSIFICATION AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS TOWARDS THE \r\nSOUTHWEST OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS, WITH THE GFS, GEFS, AND ECENS \r\nPREDICTING THAT 92S WILL REACH WARNING THRESHOLD WITHIN THE NEXT 48 \r\nHOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 28 KNOTS. \r\nMINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE \r\nPOTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN \r\nTHE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.\r\n (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1) TO \r\nMEDIUM.//"