"ABIO10 PGTW 061800\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/061800Z-\r\n071800ZJAN2025//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n13.2S 82.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.3S 80.8E, APPROXIMATELY 628 NM \r\nSOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AS \r\nWELL AS A 061312Z SSMIS F16 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICTS A PARTIALLY \r\nEXPOSED LLCC WITH FLARING CONVECTION OVER THE CENTER COUPLED WITH \r\nFRAGMENTED FORMATIVE BANDING ALONG THE NORTHER PERIPHERY. ENVIRONMENTAL \r\nCONDITIONS IN THE AREA REVEAL FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH \r\nRELATIVELY LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10-15KTS), GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW, AND \r\nWARM (26-27C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE THE AREA OF \r\nCONVECTION 94S WILL CONTINUE TO CONSOLIDATE AND TRACK WESTWARD OVER THE \r\nNEXT 24-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO \r\n23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE \r\nPOTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE \r\nNEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.\r\n      (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.7S \r\n69.1E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7.6S 70.2E, APPROXIMATELY 137 NM WEST OF DIEGO \r\nGARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICT A BROAD \r\nDISORGANIZED LLC WITH CYCLING CONVECTION. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE \r\nMODERATELY FAVORABLE FOR 92S WITH WARM (28-29C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES \r\nAND MODERATE POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, OFFSET BY MODERATE VERTICAL WIND \r\nSHEAR (15-20KTS). GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS CURRENTLY HAVE LITTLE \r\nDEVELOPMENT FOR THIS SYSTEM HOWEVER ENSEMBLE PREDICTIONS MAINTAIN \r\nDEVELOPMENT WITH A NORTH EASTERLY TRACK OVER THE NEXT 48-72 HOURS. MAXIMUM \r\nSUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL \r\nPRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS \r\nREMAINS LOW.\r\n      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//"