"ABPW10 PGTW 191130\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/191130Z-200600ZFEB2024//\r\nRMKS/\r\n1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):\r\n A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):\r\n A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96P) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 14.9S \r\n171.1W, APPROXIMATELY 45 NM SOUTHWEST OF PAGO PAGO, AMERICAN SAMOA. \r\nANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 190831Z \r\nMETOP-C ASCAT IMAGE DEPICT AN ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER \r\n(NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST ORIENTATION) OBSCURED BY PERSISTENT CONVECTION \r\nOVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE AFOREMENTIONED ASCAT DATA SUGGESTS THE \r\nHIGHEST WINDSPEEDS RESIDE IN THE NORTHEASTERN AND SOUTHWESTERN \r\nQUADRANT OF THE SYSTEM. FURTHERMORE, UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES \r\n96P IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW TO \r\nMODERATE (10-20 KNOT) VWS OFFSET BY GOOD POLEWARD DIVERGENCE ALOFT \r\nAND WARM (28-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. THOUGH GLOBAL \r\nDETERMINISTIC MODELS HAVE BEEN TOGGLING DEVELOPMENT FROM ONE MODEL \r\nRUN TO THE NEXT, GLOBAL NUMERICAL ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD \r\nAGREEMENT THAT 96P WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK GENERALLY SOUTHWARD OVER \r\nTHE NEXT 24 HOURS AS IT CONTINUES TO CONSOLIDATE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED \r\nSURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 27 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL \r\nPRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 \r\nHOURS IS LOW.\r\n (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 97P) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 17.9S \r\n173.3E, APPROXIMATELY 283 NM EAST OF PORT VILA, VANUATU. ANIMATED \r\nENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 190612Z SMOS IMAGE \r\nDEPICT A BROAD AREA OF TURNING PARTIALLY OBSCURED BY FLARING \r\nCONVECTION THAT IS BEING SHEARED TO THE SOUTHEAST. FURTHERMORE, \r\nUPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES 97P IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR \r\nDEVELOPMENT WITH LOW TO MODERATE (10-20 KNOT) VWS OFFSET BY GOOD \r\nPOLEWARD DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND WARM (28-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. \r\nTHOUGH GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS HAVE BEEN TOGGLING DEVELOPMENT \r\nFROM ONE MODEL RUN TO THE NEXT, GLOBAL NUMERICAL ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE IS \r\nIN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 97P WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK GENERALLY SOUTH-\r\nSOUTHEASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS IT CONTINUES TO CONSOLIDATE.\r\nMAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 22 KNOTS. \r\nMINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE \r\nPOTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE \r\nWITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.\r\n (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREAS IN PARA. 2.B.(1) AND \r\nPARA. 2.B.(2).//\r\nNNNN\n"