"ABPW10 PGTW 200200\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/200200Z-200600ZFEB2025//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n17.2S 168.8W IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.0S 172.0W, APPROXIMATELY 179 NM \r\nSOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF PAGO PAGO, AMERICAN SAMOA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL \r\nSATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A PARTIALLY-EXPOSED LOW LEVEL \r\nCIRCULATION CENTER WITH FLARING CONVECTION ALONG THE EQUATORWARD EDGE \r\nOF THE SOUTH PACIFIC CONVERGENCE ZONE (SPCZ) DIRECTLY TO THE NORTH. \r\nENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT INVEST 92P IS IN A FAVORABLE \r\nENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) \r\nOF 10-15 KNOTS, GOOD EQUATORWARD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, AND WARM SEA \r\nSURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST) OF 29-30 C. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT \r\nWITH THE STEADY DEVELOPMENT OF INVEST 92P, HOWEVER GFS IS THE MOST \r\nAGGRESSIVE, PORTRAYING A WELL-DEFINED CIRCULATION BY TAU 48 AS THE \r\nSYSTEM CONSOLIDATES. BOTH THE ECMWF AND GFS ENSEMBLES ARE IN GOOD \r\nAGREEMENT AS WELL WITH THE DEVELOPMENT AND GENERAL SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK \r\nOF INVEST 92P OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE \r\nWINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 28 TO 33 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS \r\nESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 999 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A \r\nSIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO \r\nMEDIUM.\r\n      (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n17.7S 166.6W HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.\r\n      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1) TO MEDIUM. \r\nDISSIPATED AREA IN PARA 2.B.(2).//"