{"ObservationDate":"2025-02-17T18:00:00","Latitude":-18.0,"Longitude":-174.4,"Windspeed":18.0,"Pressure":1006.0,"Identifier":"INVEST 98P","PotentialStatus":"LOW","OriginalBulletin":["ABPW10 PGTW 171800","MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//","SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH ","PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/171800Z-180600ZFEB2025//","RMKS/","   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:","      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 1.9N ","104.6E, APPROXIMATELY 59 NM NORTHEAST OF SINGAPORE. ANIMATED ENHANCED ","INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS AN AREA OF WELL-DEFINED ","CIRCULATION WITH DEEP CONVECTION ACROSS THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY ","BEGINNING TO ORGANIZE INTO CURVED BANDS. ANIMATED RADAR DATA SHOWS A ","WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC), WITH DEFINED CURVED ","BANDING FEATURES ACROSS THE NORTHERN SIDE. ALSO A PARTIAL 171642Z ","ASCAT METOP-C SCATTEROMETERY PASS REVEALS A WIND FIELD OF 15-20 KNOT ","WINDS ACROSS THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE CIRCULATION, WITH AREAS OF 25-","35 KNOT WINDS, UNDER THE CONVECTION ON THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE","CIRCULATION, FUNNELING BETWEEN THE CIRCULATION AND THE MALAYSIAN ","COAST. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT INVEST 93W IS IN A ","FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT DUE TO WARM (27-28C) SEA ","SURFACE TEMPERATURES, LOW TO MODERATE (15 TO 20 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND ","SHEAR, AND STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. BOTH GLOBAL AND ENSEMBLE ","MODELS ARE NOT PICKING THIS AREA UP AND DO NOT SUPPORT CONTINUED ","DEVELOPMENT OF INVEST 93W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ","ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED ","TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT ","TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.","      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.","   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.","   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:","      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR ","18.0S 174.4W IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18.0S 174.4W, APPROXIMATELY 261 NM ","WEST-NORTHWEST OF NIUE. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE ","IMAGERY DEPICTS AN ELONGATED CIRCULATION WITH FLARING CONVECTION ","EMBEDDED WITHIN THE SOUTH PACIFIC CONVERGENCE ZONE (SPCZ). A 170856Z ","ASCAT METOP-C IMAGE REVEALS 15-20 KNOT WINDS IN THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY ","OF THE SYSTEM. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT ","FOR DEVELOPMENT MOVING FORWARD WITH VERY WARM (30C) SEA SURFACE ","TEMPERATURES, LOW TO MODERATE (15 TO 20 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, ","AND A GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL ALOFT. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN ","GOOD AGREEMENT ON DEVELOPMENT WITH A SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT ","COUPLE DAYS. GFS IS CURRENTLY THE MOST AGGRESSIVE MODEL OVERALL, ","SUGGESTING GALE-FORCE WINDS IN THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY IN 48 HOURS. ","MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 18 KNOTS. ","MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE ","POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN ","THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.","      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.","   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.","3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA. 1.B.(1).//"]}