{"ObservationDate":"2025-02-19T01:30:00","Latitude":-17.7,"Longitude":-166.6,"Windspeed":33.0,"Pressure":1001.0,"Identifier":"INVEST 98P","PotentialStatus":"LOW","OriginalBulletin":["ABPW10 PGTW 190130","MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//","SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH ","PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/190130Z-190600ZFEB2025//","RMKS/","   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.","   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.","   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:","      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR ","18.0S 174.4W IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.7S 166.6W, APPROXIMATELY 306 NM ","SOUTHEAST OF PAGO PAGO. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) ","DEPICTS A WAVE LIKE FEATURE WITH A POORLY DEFINED CIRCULATION RIDING ","LONG THE SOUTH PACIFIC CONVERGENCE ZONE (SPCZ). A 190042Z ASCAT METOP-","B SCATTEROMETERY PASS REVEALS AN ASYMMETRIC WIND FIELD OF 20-25 KNOT ","WINDS TO THE NORTH OF THE CIRCULATION AND 10-15 KNOTS TO THE SOUTH. ","ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT INVEST 98P IS IN A MARGINALLY ","FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT DUE TO WARM (28-29C) SEA ","SURFACE TEMPERATURES, LOW (LESS THAN 15 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, ","HOWEVER, IS OFFSET BY CONVERGENCE ALOFT. GLOBAL MODELS ARE NOT IN ","AGREEMENT WITH THE POTENTIAL DEVELOPMENT OF INVEST 98P. THE GFS AND ","ECMWF ENSEMBLES ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 98P WILL CONTINUE TO ","TRACK SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OVER THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS SHOWING NO SIGNS OF ","POTENTIAL DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED ","AT 28 TO 33 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR ","1001 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL ","CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO LOW.","      (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92P) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 16.3S ","176.3W, APPROXIMATELY 357 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF PAGO PAGO. ANIMATED ","MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A BROAD AREA OF ILL-","DEFINED LOW LEVEL CLOUD LINES WITH DEEP FLARING CONVECTION TO THE ","NORTHWEST AND EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE ASSESSED LLCC. A 190022Z ASCAT ","METOP-B SCATTEROMETERY PASS REVEALS A WIND FIELD OF STRONG 25-30 KNOTS ","WINDS APPROXIMATELY 150NM FROM THE LLCC, WITH AREAS OF 15-20 KNOT ","WINDS BEGINNING TO WRAP INTO THE CIRCULATIONS CENTER. THE SOUTH ","PACIFIC CONVERGENCE ZONE, EXTENDING FROM THE CORAL SEA TO FRENCH ","POLYNESIA, IS AIDING IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF INVEST 92P. ENVIRONMENTAL ","ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT INVEST 92P IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR ","FURTHER DEVELOPMENT DUE TO VERY WARM (30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, ","LOW TO MODERATE (15 TO 20 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND GOOD OUTFLOW ","ALOFT. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT WITH THE SLOW BUT STEADY ","DEVELOPMENT OF INVEST 92P. BOTH THE ECMWF AND GFS ENSEMBLES ARE IN ","GOOD AGREEMENT AS WELL WITH THE CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT AND GENERAL ","SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK OF INVEST 92P OVER THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS. MAXIMUM ","SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA ","LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE ","DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS ","IS LOW.","      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.","   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.","3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: DOWNGRADED AREA IN PARA. 2.B.(1). TO ","LOW. ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA. 2.B.(2).//"]}