"ABIO10 PGTW 030230\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN \r\nREISSUED/030230Z-031800ZMAR2026//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n17.6S 122.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.1S 122.6E, APPROXIMATELY 54 NM \r\nSOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF BROOME. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS \r\nREVEALS A BROAD DISORGANIZED REGION OF TROFING ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN \r\nCOAST OF AUSTRALIA. ANALYSIS OF SURFACE OBSERVATIONS FROM BROOME \r\nSUGGEST THE TROF AXIS, OR POTENTIAL DEVELOPING ROTATION, PASSED NORTH \r\nOF THE STATION AT APPROXIMATELY 1200Z AND HAS NOW MOVED OVER WATER. \r\nDISORGANIZED CONVECTION CONTINUES TO DEVELOP ALONG THE NORTHERN \r\nPERIPHERY OF THE CIRCULATION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS \r\nMODERATELY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH HIGH VERTICAL \r\nWIND SHEAR (20 TO 30KTS), VERY WARM NEARBY SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES \r\n(30 TO 31 C), AND MODERATE POLEWARD OUTFLOW. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND \r\nENSEMBLE MODELS PREDICT GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT AS IT TRANSITS WESTWARD \r\nOVER THE NEXT 48-72 HOURS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE \r\nESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED \r\nTO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT \r\nTROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.\r\n      (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n11.0S 105.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.8S 107.0E, APPROXIMATELY 115 NM \r\nSOUTHEAST OF CHRISTMAS ISLAND. ANIMATED ENHANCED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY \r\n(MSI) DEPICTS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED, COMPACT LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION \r\nCENTER, AND A LARGE AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION DISPLACED TOO THE \r\nWEST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ENVIRONMENTAL \r\nANALYSIS REVEALS MODERATELY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH \r\nWARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28 TO 29 C) AND GOOD SOUTHWESTERLY \r\nUPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, CONTRASTED BY THE HIGH EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND \r\nSHEAR (VWS) OF 30 TO 40KTS. HOWEVER, THE CIMSS SHEAR ANALYSIS MAY BE \r\nTOO HIGH, BASED ON THE OVERALL STRUCTURAL APPEARANCE IN THE MSI. \r\nGLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS DEPICT 90S TAKING A GENERAL \r\nEAST TRACK AND THE RAPID DEVELOPMENT OF 90S IN THE NEXT 36-48 HOURS. \r\nMAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 27 KNOTS. \r\nMINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE \r\nPOTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN \r\nTHE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.\r\n      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 2.B.(2) TO \r\nMEDIUM.//"