"ABPW10 PGTW 140030\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/140030Z-140600ZFEB2024//\r\nRMKS/\r\n1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):\r\n   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):\r\n   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n14.1S 135.1E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.5S 136.9E, APPROXIMATELY 145 NM \r\nWEST-NORTHWEST OF MORNINGTON ISLAND, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL \r\nSATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS AN ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) \r\nWITH PERSISTENT DEEP FLARING CONVECTION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS \r\nA FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR CYCLOGENESIS WITH WARM (29-30 C) SEA SURFACE \r\nTEMPERATURES, MODERATE EQUATORWARD DIVERGENCE ALOFT, AND LOW (5-10 KTS) \r\nVERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 93S WILL \r\nGENERALLY TRACK EASTWARD THEN TURN SOUTHWARD OR SOUTHWESTWARD WHILE \r\nGRADUALLY DEVELOPING WITHIN THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA DURING THE NEXT 24-\r\n36 HOURS. MESOSCALE GUIDANCE IS ALSO IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 93S \r\nWILL INTENSIFY NEAR WARNING CRITERIA OVER THE NEXT 36-48 HOURS PRIOR TO \r\nPOTENTIALLY MOVING BACK INLAND. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE \r\nESTIMATED AT 23 TO 28 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO \r\nBE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT \r\nTROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1) TO MEDIUM.//\r\nNNNN\n"