"ABPW10 PGTW 140600\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS/140600Z-150600ZFEB2024//\r\nRMKS/\r\n1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):\r\n A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):\r\n A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n15.1S 136.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.4S 137.3E, APPROXIMATELY 419 NM \r\nEAST-SOUTHEAST OF DARWIN. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 132358Z GMI \r\n89GHZ SATELLITE MICROWAVE IMAGERY DEPICTS FORMATIVE SHALLOW BANDS OF \r\nCONVECTION, AND A CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. \r\nENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS THAT 93S IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT \r\nFOR DEVELOPMENT, WITH VERY WARM (30-31C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, \r\nMODERATE DUAL-CHANNEL OUTFLOW, AND LOW TO MARGINAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR \r\n(10-15 KTS). GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 93S WILL \r\nGENERALLY TRACK EASTWARD WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS, MOVING OVER THE \r\nSOUTHERN GULF OF CARPENTARIA. OVER THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS, NUMERICAL \r\nMODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT 93S WILL TURN SOUTHWARD TOWARDS LAND. \r\nMAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 28 KNOTS. \r\nMINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE \r\nPOTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN \r\nTHE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.\r\n (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//\r\nNNNN\n"