"ABPW10 PGTW 130800\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/130800Z-140600ZJAN2026//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 4.5N \r\n134.2E, APPROXIMATELY 171 NM SOUTH OF PALAU. ANIMATED ENHANCED \r\nMULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A DISORGANIZED LOW LEVEL \r\nCIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH FLARING CONVECTION THROUGHOUT THE \r\nWESTERN AND SOUTHERN QUADRANTS. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A \r\nMARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW TO MODERATE \r\nVERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15-20 KTS), GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND WARM \r\nSEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-30 C). GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE IN \r\nFAIR AGREEMENT 91W WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. \r\nGLOBAL ENSEMBLES ARE ALSO IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH EXPECTED STEADY \r\nINTENSIFICATION OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE \r\nWINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS \r\nESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A \r\nSIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n18.2S 160.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 20.3S 160.1E, APPROXIMATELY 389 NM \r\nWEST-NORTHWEST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED \r\nMULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A WELL DEFINED FULLY \r\nEXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH PERSISTENT CONVECTION \r\nDISPLACED FAR TO THE NORTHEAST. A 122242Z METOP-C ASCAT PASS SHOWS 25-\r\n30 KT WINDS IN THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE SLIGHTLY ELONGATED \r\nCIRCULATION.  ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE \r\nENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (25-30 KTS), \r\nMODERATE EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (27-28 \r\nC). GLOBAL MODELS GENERALLY AGREE ON 94P STAYING QUASISTATIONARY OVER \r\nTHE NEXT 24 HOURS. MODELS SHOW LITTLE TO NO DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT \r\n3-4 DAYS, HOWEVER, THEY ARE CURRENTLY UNDERESTIMATING THE STRUCTURE OF \r\n94P. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 28 KNOTS. \r\nMINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE \r\nPOTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN \r\nTHE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA. 1.B.(1).//"