"ABPW10 PGTW 180130\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS/REISSUED/180130Z-180600ZFEB2025//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n1.9N 104.6E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 1.6N 105.3E, APPROXIMATELY 89 NM EAST-\r\nNORTHEAST OF SINGAPORE. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE \r\nIMAGERY DEPICTS AN AREA OF WELL-DEFINED CIRCULATION WITH DEEP \r\nCONVECTION ACROSS THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY BEGINNING TO ORGANIZE INTO \r\nCURVED BANDS. ANIMATED RADAR DATA SHOWS A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL \r\nCIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC), WITH DEFINED CURVED BANDING FEATURES ACROSS \r\nTHE NORTHERN SIDE. ALSO A PARTIAL 171642Z ASCAT METOP-C SCATTEROMETERY \r\nPASS REVEALS A WIND FIELD OF 15-20 KNOT WINDS ACROSS THE EASTERN \r\nPORTION OF THE CIRCULATION, WITH AREAS OF 2535 KNOT WINDS, UNDER THE \r\nCONVECTION ON THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE CIRCULATION, FUNNELING BETWEEN \r\nTHE CIRCULATION AND THE MALAYSIAN COAST. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS \r\nINDICATES THAT INVEST 93W IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER \r\nDEVELOPMENT DUE TO WARM (27-28C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, LOW TO \r\nMODERATE (15 TO 20 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND STRONG POLEWARD \r\nOUTFLOW ALOFT. BOTH GLOBAL AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE NOT PICKING THIS \r\nAREA UP AND DO NOT SUPPORT CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT OF INVEST 93W. \r\nMAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. \r\nMINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE \r\nPOTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN \r\nTHE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n18.0S 174.4W IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.4S 173.0W, APPROXIMATELY 185 NM \r\nSOUTHWEST OF PAGO PAGO. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) \r\nDEPICTS AN ELONGATED AREA OF WEAKLY DEFINED CIRCULATION WITH FLARING \r\nCONVECTION TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH-SOUTHWEST. A 180022Z ASCAT METOP-B \r\nSCATTEROMETERY PASS REVEALS A WIND FIELD TO THE NORTH WITH SPEEDS AT \r\n20-25 KNOTS AND A WIND FIELD TO THE SOUTH WITH 15-20 KNOT WINDS. A \r\nSMALL AREA OF 15-20 KNOT WINDS ARE BEGINNING TO WRAP INTO THE \r\nAFOREMENTIONED WEAKLY DEFINED CIRCULATION, WHICH IS EMBEDDED WITH A \r\nBROAD TROF THAT EXTENDS FROM THE CORAL SEA ALL THE WAY TO SOUTHEAST OF \r\nFRENCH POLYNESIA. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT INVEST 98P IS \r\nIN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT DUE TO WARM (29-\r\n30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, LOW TO MODERATE (15 TO 20 KNOTS) \r\nVERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND STRONG EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT PROVIDED BY \r\nA SPLIT UPPER-LEVEL FLOW PATTERN. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT WITH \r\nTHE OVERALL DEVELOPMENT OF INVEST 98P, HOWEVER ARE DIFFERING ON THE \r\nTIMELINES. GFS IS THE PRIMARY MODEL CURRENTLY SHOWING SIGNS OF \r\nPOTENTIAL DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS. BOTH THE ECMWF AND \r\nGFS ENSEMBLES ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE OVER EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD \r\nTRACK OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE \r\nESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED \r\nTO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT \r\nTROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE:"