"ABPW10 PGTW 050130\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS/REISSUED/050130Z-050600ZJUN2025//\r\nRMKS/\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 9.8N \r\n136.4E, APPROXIMATELY 106 NM WEST OF YAP, MICRONESIA. ANIMATED \r\nMULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) AND A 042045Z SSMIS 91GHZ \r\nMICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT A SLOWLY CONSOLIDATING RAGGED DEEP CONVECTIVE \r\nBANDING OBSCURING THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ENVIRONMENTAL \r\nANALYSIS REVEALS A MODERATE TO FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL \r\nWIND SHEAR (VWS) OF 10-15 KNOTS, MODERATE EQUATOR OUTFLOW, AND WARM SEA \r\nSURFACE TEMPERATURES OF 30-31C. DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE \r\nIN GOOD AGREEMENT REVEALING GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. \r\nTHE MODEL GUIDANCE BETWEEN GFS AND ECMWF INDICATE VARYING TIMELINES OF \r\nDEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER, 92W IS LIKELY TO DEVELOP IN THE NEAR TERM DESPITE \r\nA TUTT CELL INDUCING THE 10-15KT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE NORTH \r\nWHILE THE TUTT ALSO FAVORABLE ENHANCES OUTFLOW POLEWARD. MAXIMUM \r\nSUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA \r\nLEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS \r\nIS LOW.\r\n (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA. 1.B.(1).//"