"ABPW10 PGTW 050600\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS/050600Z-060600ZJUN2025//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n9.6N 136.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.8N 136.4E, APPROXIMATELY 104 NM WEST \r\nOF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) AND A 042045Z \r\nSSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT A SLOWLY CONSOLIDATING RAGGED DEEP \r\nCONVECTIVE BANDING OBSCURING THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. \r\nENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MODERATE TO FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT \r\nWITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) OF 10-15 KNOTS, MODERATE EQUATOR \r\nOUTFLOW, AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OF 30-31C. DETERMINISTIC \r\nAND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT REVEALING GRADUAL \r\nDEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE MODEL GUIDANCE BETWEEN GFS AND \r\nECMWF INDICATE VARYING TIMELINES OF DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER, 92W IS \r\nLIKELY TO DEVELOP IN THE NEAR TERM DESPITE A TUTT CELL INDUCING THE \r\n10-15KT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE NORTH WHILE THE TUTT ALSO \r\nFAVORABLE ENHANCES OUTFLOW POLEWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS \r\nARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS \r\nESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A \r\nSIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//"