"ABPW10 PGTW 080600\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS/080600Z-090600ZJUN2025//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n13.3N 126.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 123.3E, APPROXIMATELY 139 NM \r\nEAST-NORTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE \r\nIMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS LITTLE TO NO CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH \r\nTHE EXTREMELY BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) THAT IS SLOWLY \r\nTRANSITING TOWARD CENTRAL LUZON. A 080032Z ASCAT-B 25KM IMAGE DEPICTS \r\nTHE ELONGATED NATURE OF THE CIRCULATION WITH 10 KNOT WINDS ALONG THE \r\nNORTHERN AND EASTERN PERIPHERIES OF THE SYSTEM. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS \r\nREVEALS A MODERATELY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT, WITH MODERATE EQUATORWARD \r\nOUTFLOW ALOFT AND LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) OF 15-20 \r\nKNOTS. 92W WILL ALSO HAVE WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OF 30-31C TO \r\nHELP DEVELOPMENT. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE CURRENTLY \r\nIN GOOD AGREEMENT ON A WESTWARD TRACK INTO THE SOUTH CHINA SEA OVER THE \r\nNEXT 48 HOURS WITH STEADY INTENSIFICATION AS THE SYSTEM CONSOLIDATES. \r\nMAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM \r\nSEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR \r\nTHE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 \r\nHOURS REMAINS LOW.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//"