"ABIO10 PGTW 012130\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN \r\nREISSUED/012130Z-021800ZFEB2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/011351ZFEB2025//\r\nREF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/011952ZFEB2025//\r\nREF/C/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/010152ZFEB2025//\r\nNARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS. REF C IS A TROPICAL \r\nCYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 99S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n13.1S 121.2E IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE \r\nPARA. 2.A.(2) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.\r\n      (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n13.9S 119.1E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.2S 118.9E, APPROXIMATELY 293 NM \r\nNORTHWEST OF BROOME, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE \r\nIMAGERY (MSI) DEPICT A QUICKLY CONSOLIDATING LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION \r\nEMBEDDED WITHIN PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION WITH A CENTRAL DENSE \r\nOVERCAST (CDO) DIRECTLY OVER THE CENTER. A STRONG BELT OF WESTERLY FLOW \r\n(20-25 KNOTS) IS POSITIONED ON THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE OF THE \r\nCIRCULATION AND HAS BEGAN TO WRAP ALONG THE NORTHEASTERN PERIPHERY OF \r\nTHE SYSTEM. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT INVEST 90S IS IN A \r\nCONDUCIVE ENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT DUE TO VERY WARM (30-31C) \r\nSEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, GOOD RADIAL OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND LOW (5 TO 10 \r\nKNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS \r\nARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 90S WILL QUICKLY CONSOLIDATE AND \r\nCONTINUE TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM \r\nSUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 28 TO 33 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA \r\nLEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 999 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS \r\nREMAINS HIGH. SEE REF C (WTXS21 PGTW 010200) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.\r\n      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1) TO WARNING \r\nSTATUS.//"