"ABPW10 PGTW 250200\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/250200Z-250600ZJUN2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/241951ZJUN2025//\r\nREF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/250151ZJUN2025//\r\nNARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE \r\nFORMATION ALERT.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n14.4N 118.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 114.2E, APPROXIMATELY 303 NM \r\nEAST-SOUTHEAST OF HAIKOU. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY \r\n(MSI) DEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) \r\nWITH DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY PERSISTING NEAR THE LLCC. THE LACK OF \r\nRECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY OR SCATTEROMETER DATA PRECLUDE A HIGH \r\nCONFIDENCE ASSESSMENT OF THE PRECISE POSITION OF THE LLCC, OTHER THAN \r\nTO SAY IT IS TUCKED UNDER THE CONVECTIVE CLOUD SHIELD. ENVIRONMENTAL \r\nANALYSIS INDICATES THAT INVEST 96W IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR \r\nFURTHER DEVELOPMENT DUE TO WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, \r\nGOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND LOW (LESS THAN 15 KNOTS) VERTICAL \r\nWIND SHEAR. DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT WITH THE CONTINUED, \r\nBUT SLOW, DEVELOPMENT OF 96W OVER THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS. BOTH THE GEFS \r\nAND ECMWF ENSEMBLES MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT WITH THE OVERALL \r\nNORTHWESTERLY TRACK TOWARDS THE COAST OF SOUTHEASTERN CHINA. MAXIMUM \r\nSUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA \r\nLEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 \r\nHOURS IS UPGRADED TO HIGH. SEE REF B (WTPN21 PGTW 250200) FOR FURTHER \r\nDETAILS.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA. 1.B.(1) TO \r\nHIGH.//"