"ABPW10 PGTW 300130\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/300130ZJUN2025-300600ZJUL2025//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 15.2N \r\n134.1E, APPROXIMATELY 655 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF APARRI, PHILIPPINES. \r\nANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL (MSI) SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A WELL-DEFINED, \r\nIF FAIRLY WEAK, LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH ISOLATED \r\nPOCKETS OF FLARING CONVECTION IN THE RAIN BANDS ALONG THE WEST AND \r\nSOUTHWEST PERIPHERY. A 292123Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICTS THE \r\nWELL-DEFINED CIRCULATION DEVOID OF SIGNIFICANT CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. \r\nENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT INVEST 98W IS IN A MARGINALLY \r\nFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT DUE TO LOW (10 TO 15 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, \r\nWEAK OUTFLOW ALOFT WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE POSITIONED JUST \r\nWEST OF THE LLCC AND A TUTT-CELL POSITIONED FURTHER WEST, NEAR LUZON. \r\nSSTS ARE VERY WARM (30-31C) AND OHC IS HIGH.  GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN \r\nAGREEMENT THAT INVEST 98W WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK WESTWARD OVER THE \r\nNEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS, ULTIMATELY MERGING WITH A PRE-EXISTING, BROAD \r\nCYCLONIC CIRCULATION IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. ONCE THE MERGER OCCURS, \r\nGLOBAL MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT THE SYSTEM WILL QUICKLY \r\nCONSOLIDATE AND DEVELOP, BEYOND 48 HOURS. ENSEMBLE MODEL GUIDANCE IS \r\nALSO IN AGREEMENT, SHOWING THE CIRCULATION TRACKING WEST, THEN MERGING \r\nWITH ANOTHER CIRCULATION BEFORE TRACKING OFF TO THE NORTHEAST WHILE \r\nSTEADILY CONSOLIDATING AND INTENSIFYING, BEYOND THE 48 HOUR POINT.  \r\nMAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. \r\nMINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE \r\nPOTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN \r\nTHE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA. 1.B.(1).//"