"ABPW10 PGTW 010900\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/010900Z-020600ZJUL2025//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n14.8N 127.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 126.8E, APPROXIMATELY 240 NM \r\nNORTHEAST OF LEGAZPI.  MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A \r\nSLOWLY CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH ISOLATED \r\nCONVECTION THROUGHOUT THE CIRCULATION. A RECENT 010147Z ASCAT-C PASS \r\nSHOWS TURNING IN THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY, CONTINUING TO SHOW A MORE \r\nDEFINED CIRCULATION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A HIGHLY FAVORABLE \r\nENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW LEVEL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) \r\nOF 10-15 KTS, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND WARM SEA SURFACE \r\nTEMPERATURES (SST) OF 30-31 C. DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE \r\nIN GOOD AGREEMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH A LOW LIKELIHOOD OF \r\nDEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS \r\nARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS \r\nESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A \r\nSIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.\r\n      (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n21.1N 148.2E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 148.2E, APPROXIMATELY 400 NM \r\nEAST-SOUTHEAST OF IWO TO. MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) AND A \r\n010518Z SSMIS F18 91 GHZ IMAGE DEPICT A CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL \r\nCIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) OBSCURED BY DEEP CONVECTION ALONG THE \r\nNORTHEASTERN PERIPHERY. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS FOR THE AREA INDICATES \r\nMARGINALLY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH WARM (29-30 C) \r\nSEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, OFFSET BY \r\nMODERATE (15-20 KTS) SOUTHERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AS RELATIVELY DRY \r\nAIR ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) CELL \r\nTO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE \r\nMODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 90W WILL CONTINUE NORTH-\r\nNORTHWESTWARD WITH GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM \r\nSUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA \r\nLEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS \r\nIS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.\r\n      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(2) TO \r\nMEDIUM.////"