"ABPW10 PGTW 011400\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/011400Z-020600ZJUL2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/011351ZJUL2025//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n14.8N 127.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 126.8E, APPROXIMATELY 240 NM \r\nNORTHEAST OF LEGAZPI. MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A \r\nSLOWLY CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH ISOLATED \r\nCONVECTION THROUGHOUT THE CIRCULATION. A RECENT 010147Z ASCAT-C PASS \r\nSHOWS TURNING IN THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY, CONTINUING TO SHOW A MORE \r\nDEFINED CIRCULATION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A HIGHLY FAVORABLE \r\nENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW LEVEL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) \r\nOF 10-15 KTS, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND WARM SEA SURFACE \r\nTEMPERATURES (SST) OF 30-31 C. DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE \r\nIN GOOD AGREEMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH A LOW LIKELIHOOD OF DEVELOPMENT \r\nOVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED \r\nAT 13 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR \r\n1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL \r\nCYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW. \r\n      (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n21.4N 147.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 147.9E, APPROXIMATELY 373 NM \r\nEAST-SOUTHEAST OF IWO TO. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY \r\n(MSI) AND A 010948Z GMI 89 GHZ IMAGE DEPICT A CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL \r\nCIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) OBSCURED BY DEEP CONVECTION ALONG THE NORTH \r\nAND EASTERN PERIPHERIES. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS FOR THE AREA INDICATES \r\nMARGINALLY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH WARM (29-30 C) \r\nSEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, OFFSET BY \r\nMODERATE (15-20 KTS) SOUTHERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AS RELATIVELY DRY \r\nAIR ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) CELL \r\nTO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE \r\nMODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 90W WILL CONTINUE NORTH-\r\nNORTHWESTWARD WITH GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. \r\nMAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. \r\nMINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE \r\nPOTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN \r\nTHE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO HIGH. SEE REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 011400) \r\nFOR FURTHER DETAILS.\r\n      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA. 1.B.(2) TO \r\nHIGH.////"