"ABPW10 PGTW 020600\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS 020600Z-030600ZJUL2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/020151ZJUL2025//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n16.9N 124.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 123.7E, APPROXIMATELY 108 NM \r\nNORTHEAST OF CASIGURAN, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED \r\nSATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) AND A 020048Z GMI 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICTS \r\nA CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH FRAGMENTED \r\nFORMATIVE BANDING AND BUILDING CONVECTION OVER THE EASTERN PERIPHERY. \r\nENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS FOR THE AREA INDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT \r\nFOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW LEVEL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10-15 KTS), MODERATE \r\nEQUATORWARD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW, AND VERY WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES \r\nOF (30-31 C). DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLES MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT \r\nFOR DEVELOPMENT, WITH NAVGEM BEING MORE AGGRESSIVE OVER THE NEXT 48 \r\nHOURS. MODELS OVERALL AGREE ON A GRADUAL AND SLOW NORTHWARD TRACK OVER \r\nTHE NEXT FEW DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 \r\nTO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. \r\nTHE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE \r\nWITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//"